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基于ISM-AHP法的河流健康影响因素研究    

Study on Influencing Factors of River Health Based on ISM-AHP Method

文献类型:期刊文献

中文题名:基于ISM-AHP法的河流健康影响因素研究

英文题名:Study on Influencing Factors of River Health Based on ISM-AHP Method

作者:王笑宇 刘孝羽 葛金金 刘振男 王振龙 周静淑

第一作者:王笑宇

机构:[1]安徽农业大学工学院,安徽合肥230036;[2]中国水利水电科学研究院,北京100038;[3]贵州理工学院,贵州贵阳550025;[4]安徽省(水利部淮委)水利科学研究院水利水资源安徽省重点实验室,安徽蚌埠233000;[5]安徽省引江济淮集团有限公司,安徽合肥230601

第一机构:安徽农业大学工学院,安徽合肥230036

年份:2025

卷号:51

期号:12

起止页码:17-25

中文期刊名:水力发电

外文期刊名:Water Power

基金:国家自然科学基金青年基金资助项目(52209001);安徽省引江济淮集团有限公司科技项目(YJJH-ZT-ZX-20230706545);水利部重大科技项目(SKS-2022066);安徽省高校科研计划项目(自然科学类)重点项目(2024AH050460);贵州省科技厅项目(黔科合基础-ZK[2024]一般515)。

语种:中文

中文关键词:河流健康;解释结构模型;层次分析法;影响因素;太湖流域

外文关键词:river health;interpretive structure model;analytical hierarchy process;influencing factor;Taihu Basin

摘要:基于2015年~2024年太湖流域河网的调查数据,选取14个河流健康指标组成评价体系。运用解释结构模型(ISM)构建影响河流健康可持续发展因素的6级结构。采用层次分析法(AHP)计算结构中要素的综合权重并进行排序,结果表明:生态流量满足程度、公共满意度、供水水量保证率的权重分别为0.750 0、0.473 5、0.423 1,远高于其他因素,是太湖流域河流健康的主要影响因素。表层因素中的公众满意度和水质综合指标是影响河流健康的直接因素;深层因素中的岸线利用管理水平和岸线植被保有率是影响河流健康的根本原因;中层因素在表层和深层因素之间发挥影响的传递作用。基于各层级要素之间的二元归因和路径分析,从优化岸线水利构筑物布局、加强中小支流监管力度、稳固水生动植物食物链结构等方面提出太湖流域河流健康管理保护对策。
14 river health indicators in Taihu Lake Basin are selected to form the evaluation system based on the survey data of the river network from 2015 to 2014.The interpretative structure model(ISM)is used to construct a six-level structure of factors influencing the sustainable development of river health.The analytical hierarchy process(AHP)is adopted to calculate the comprehensive weights of the elements in the structure for ranking.The results show that the weights of the ecological flow satisfaction degree,public satisfaction,and water supply volume guarantee rate are 0.7500,0.4735,and 0.4231,respectively,which are much higher than other factors.Therefore,they are the main influencing factors for the river health in Taihu Lake Basin.The public satisfaction and comprehensive water quality indicators among the surface-level factors are the direct factors affecting the health of rivers.The management level of shoreline utilization and the retention rate of shoreline vegetation among the deep-level factors are the fundamental reasons affecting the health of rivers.The middle-level factors play a role in the transmission of influence between surface-level and deep-level factors.Based on the binary attribution and path analysis among elements at all levels,the countermeasures for the health management and protection of rivers in Taihu Lake Basin are proposed from aspects such as optimizing the layout of water conservancy structures along the shoreline,strengthening the supervision of small and medium-sized tributaries,and stabilizing the food chain structure of aquatic animals and plants.

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