文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：未来气候变化对贵州红心猕猴桃种植气候适宜性的影响

英文题名：Effects of Future Climate Change on Climatic Suitability of Actinidia chinensis Growing in Guizhou

作者：韩会庆 张娇艳 张英佳 张璇 白玉梅 张新鼎

第一作者：韩会庆

机构：[1]贵州理工学院建筑与城市规划学院;[2]贵州气候中心

第一机构：贵州理工学院建筑与城市规划学院

年份：2018

卷号：38

期号：4

起止页码：46-52

中文期刊名：西南林业大学学报：自然科学

收录：CSTPCD;;北大核心:【北大核心2017】；

基金：贵州省教育厅青年科技人才成长项目(黔教合KY字[2017]217)资助;贵州理工学院学术新苗培养及探索创新项目(黔科合平台人才[2017]5789-23)资助;贵州理工学院高层次人才科研启动项目资助

语种：中文

中文关键词：气候变化;适宜性;红心猕猴桃;贵州

外文关键词：climate change;suitability;Actinidia chinensis;Guizhou

摘要：利用1986—2005年气象站点观测数据以及2016—2100年气候预估数据,分析RCP2.6、RCP4.5、RCP8.5情景下2016—2100年贵州红心猕猴桃种植气候适宜性变化特征。结果表明:与1986—2005年相比,除RCP8.5情景下2081—2100年外,未来其他情景下各时期红心猕猴桃种植气候适宜性整体呈增加趋势;高适宜区和中适宜区面积和比例增加突出,低适宜区和不适宜区面积和比例下降明显;各时期红心猕猴桃种植气候适宜性变化空间异质性突出;未来气候变化影响下各气温因子和年降水量对红心猕猴桃种植气候适宜性变化影响存在差异。
Using the observational data from the meteorological station from 1986 to 2005 and the climate projection data from 2016 to 2100, the characteristics of climate suitability of Actinidia chinensis planted in Guizhou Province from 2016 to 2100 under the RCP2. 6, RCP4. 5, and RCP8. 5 scenarios were analyzed. The results show that compared with 1986-2005, except for the period of 2081-2100 under the RCP8. 5 scenario, the climate suitability of A. chinensis grows in an overall trend under other scenarios in the future. The areas and ratios of high and moderately suitable areas increase significantly, and the area and proportion of low and moderately suitable areas decrease significantly. The spatial heterogeneity of the climate suitability of A. chinensis planted in different periods is prominent. Under the influence of climate change in the future, temperature factors and annual precipitation have different effects on the climate suitability of A. chinensis.