文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：我国卫生支出结构与体育产业互动关系研究

英文题名：Health Expenditure Structure and Sports Industry Interaction Relations in China

作者：田广 郭敏

第一作者：田广

机构：[1]华中师范大学体育学院;[2]贵州理工学院体育教学部

第一机构：华中师范大学体育学院,湖北武汉430079

年份：2017

卷号：32

期号：5

起止页码：411-416

中文期刊名：天津体育学院学报

外文期刊名：Journal of Tianjin University of Sport

收录：CSTPCD;;国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库;北大核心:【北大核心2014】；CSSCI:【CSSCI2017_2018】；

基金：国家社会科学基金项目(项目编号:14BTY012)

语种：中文

中文关键词：卫生支出结构;体育产业;互动关系;向量自回归

外文关键词：health expenditure structure;sports industry;interaction;VAR

摘要：发展卫生与体育产业是新时代的要求,也是健康中国的目标之一,要打破"重卫轻体"僵局,就要实现两者的互动,断然相信,两者势必会催生出新业态,成为未来新的经济增长热点。采用协整分析、误差修正模型、格兰杰因果关系检验、脉冲响应函数及方差分解法,运用2006—2016年卫生支出结构与体育产业数据,分析几者间的互动关系,得出结论。(1)体育产业增加值与卫生支出结构存在高度关联性。(2)体育产业增加值与卫生支出结构存在长期稳定关系,政府、社会、个人卫生支出每增加1个单位,将带动体育产业增加0.884 0、1.032 4、1.665 3个单位。(3)长期内,体育产业增加值对社会、个人卫生支出呈"溢出效应";短期内,体育产业增加值与政府、社会、个人卫生支出均呈"约束效应"。(4)体育产业增加值是个人卫生支出的格兰杰原因,其他原假设均不存在格兰杰因果关系。(5)政府、社会、个人卫生支出不同程度影响体育产业的发展,社会卫生支出尤为突出,个人卫生支出有制约作用,三者的长期效应大于短期效应。(6)政府、社会、个人卫生支出对自身的贡献率短期强、长期弱,三者对体育产业增加值的长期贡献率超过70%。
The development of health and sports industry is the requirements of the new era and one of the goals of healthy China. In order to break the deadlock of＂more attention to health rather than sport＂,We have to realize the interaction between health and sports industry,and absolutely believe that both will hasten the emergence of new formats and become a new economic growth hot spot. Utilizing cointegration relation test,error correction model,Granger causality test,impulse response function analysis and variance decomposition methods. We collected the date from 2006 to 2016 to analyse the interaction relations between health expenditure structure and sports industry. The results showed that：Firstly,the added-value of sports industry was highly related with health expenditure structure;Secondly,the value-added of sports industry had a long-term stable relationship with health expenditure structure. per unit increasement of government,social and personal health expenditure will drive the sports industry increased by 0.884 0,1.032 4,1.665 3 units. Thirdly,in long-term,the value-added of sports industry had＂extrusion effect＂to social health expenditure and personal health expenditure and has＂crowding effect＂ to government,social and personal health expenditure in the short-term. Fourthly,the added-value of sports industry was single Granger cause of personal health expenditure,but no Granger causality exists in other original assumptions. Fifthly,the government,society and personal health expenditure affected the development of sports industry in different degrees. Social health expenditure was particularly prominent and personal health expenditure had the restriction effect. The long-term effects of the three were greater than the short-term effect. Sixthly,the contribution rate of government,society and personal health expenditure to themselves were＂short term strong,long term weak＂,the long-term contribution rate of the three to the added value of sports industry was more than 70%.