文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：旅游生态系统空间均衡演化量测与动态评估方法

英文题名：Study on the measurement and dynamic assessment methods of spatial equilibrium evolution in tourism ecosystems

作者：杨春宇 葛鹏 陈梅 尤碧莹 陈子远 丁宇

第一作者：杨春宇

机构：[1]贵州财经大学贵州旅游经济与管理研究院,贵阳550025;[2]贵州理工学院交通工程学院,贵阳550025;[3]贵州财经大学发展规划处,贵阳550025;[4]贵州财经大学工商管理学院,贵阳550025;[5]贵州财经大学绿色发展战略研究院,贵阳550025

第一机构：贵州财经大学贵州旅游经济与管理研究院,贵阳550025

年份：2025

卷号：45

期号：13

起止页码：6217-6230

中文期刊名：生态学报

外文期刊名：Acta Ecologica Sinica

收录：;北大核心:【北大核心2023】；

基金：国家自然科学基金(42161035,41961025)。

语种：中文

中文关键词：旅游生态系统;空间均衡;Logistic曲线模型;动态评估;演化周期

外文关键词：tourism ecosystem;spatial equilibrium;logistic curve model;dynamic assessment;evolutionary cycle

摘要：旨在科学量测与评估旅游生态系统“空间均衡”演化状态,以推动旅游地可持续发展。首先,基于系统科学研究范式探寻旅游生态系统演化发展效率与公平的动态平衡点与均衡状态,尝试构建一个基于“自然利用效率子系统”和“社会公平发展子系统”的旅游生态系统“空间均衡”理论演化模型。尔后,基于压力-状态-响应(PSR)模型构建了包含9个维度的量测指标体系,综合运用熵权法、极差法和模糊聚类法量测旅游生态系统“空间均衡”实际演化状态。最后通过对比分析中国丹霞(贵州赤水)世界自然遗产地“空间均衡”实测状态值与理论值,获得以下研究结果:(1)构建的理论演化模型较好地拟合了案例地旅游生态系统“空间均衡”演化轨迹,实测状态值围绕演化理论值呈现短期振荡,长期“S”型演化特征;(2)根据理论模型测算中国丹霞(贵州赤水)的旅游生态系统“空间均衡”演化周期约为50年。其中,2000—2020年期间,中国丹霞(贵州赤水)历经滞后-过载-平衡的演化过程。与案例地“空间均衡”演化理论值相比,实测状态值呈现“进慢则退”的趋势;(3)中国丹霞(贵州赤水)2000年旅游生态状态指数处于0.089—0.180之间(五级),经过近20年的逐步恢复,截至2020年其生态状态指数已经恢复至0.2362(三级)以上。一定程度上实现对旅游生态系统“空间均衡”演化拟合与动态评估,推动该领域研究从单一的静态评估向多样化、动态化和定量化转变,为旅游地可持续发展提供系统理论和方法依据。
This study aims to scientifically measure and evaluate the evolutionary state of“spatial equilibrium”in tourism ecosystems to promote the sustainable development of tourist destinations.First,based on the paradigm of systems science,the study explores the dynamic balance and equilibrium state between efficiency and equity in the evolutionary development of tourism ecosystems.A theoretical evolutionary model of tourism ecosystem“spatial equilibrium”is constructed,integrating the“natural resource utilization efficiency subsystem”and the“social equity development subsystem.”Subsequently,a measurement index system comprising nine dimensions is developed based on the Pressure-State-Response(PSR)model.The actual evolutionary state of“spatial equilibrium”in the tourism ecosystem is quantitatively assessed using a combination of the entropy weight method,range method,and fuzzy clustering method.Finally,a comparative analysis between the empirically measured values and the theoretical values of“spatial equilibrium”in the China Danxia(Chishui,Guizhou)World Natural Heritage site yields the following findings:(1)The constructed theoretical evolutionary model effectively fits the evolutionary trajectory of the“spatial equilibrium”in the case study area′s tourism ecosystem.The empirical state values exhibit short-term oscillations around the theoretical evolutionary values,displaying a long-term“Sshaped”evolutionary trend.(2)The theoretical model estimates that the evolutionary cycle of“spatial equilibrium”in the tourism ecosystem of China Danxia(Chishui,Guizhou)is approximately 50 years.During the period from 2000 to 2020,the tourism ecosystem in China Danxia(Chishui,Guizhou)underwent an evolutionary process from lagging to overloading and finally toward equilibrium.Compared to the theoretical values of“spatial equilibrium”evolution in the case study area,the empirical state values exhibit a“slow progress leading to regression”trend.(3)In 2000,the tourism ecological state index of China Danxia(Chishui,Guizhou)ranged between 0.089 and 0.180(fifth level).After nearly 20 years of gradual recovery,by 2020,the index had improved to above 0.2362(third level).To some extent,this study achieves the fitting and dynamic assessment of the evolutionary process of“spatial equilibrium”in tourism ecosystems,advancing research in this field from static evaluation toward diversified,dynamic,and quantitative approaches.This provides a systematic theoretical and methodological foundation for the sustainable development of tourist destinations.