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我国体育产业与经济增长的关系研究    

Relationship Study between China Sports Industry and National Economic Growth

文献类型:期刊文献

中文题名:我国体育产业与经济增长的关系研究

英文题名:Relationship Study between China Sports Industry and National Economic Growth

作者:田广 郭敏

第一作者:田广

机构:[1]贵州理工学院体育教学部;[2]华中师范大学体育学院

第一机构:贵州理工学院体育教学部

年份:2018

卷号:37

期号:3

起止页码:189-192

中文期刊名:湖北体育科技

外文期刊名:Hubei Sports Science

基金:国家社会科学基金项目(项目编号:14BTY012)

语种:中文

中文关键词:体育产业;经济增长;关系;向量自回归

外文关键词:sports industry;economic growth;relationship;vector auto-regression

摘要:运用计量经济学研究方法,以2006~2015年体育产业增加值、国内生产总值为研究样本,对两者计量关系进行实证研究。结果表明,体育产业与国民经济存在较强的关联度;从长期来看,体育产业每增加1%个单位,将带动经济增加0.677 4%个单位;从短期来看,体育产业对国民经济增长的短期作用不明显;体育产业与国民经济之间存在单向因果关系,体育产业增长的变化是引起GDP增长变化的原因;脉冲响应函数显示国民经济的增长有助于体育产业的发展,国民经济增长对体育产业的冲击强度比体育产业对经济增长的冲击力度强;方差分解得出国民经济除受自身波动冲击的影响外,还受体育产业冲击的影响,经济增长对体育产业的拉动不足,并就此提出相关建议。
By using the econometrics research methods, this paper made an empirical study on the relationship between the sports industry value-added and gross domestic product (GDP) from 2006 to 2015. The results were showed as following. Firstly, there was a strong correlation between the sports industry value-added and the national economy. Secondly, each increase of 1% units in the sports industry, the economy would be driven by 0.6774% units in the long term, the sports industry had no obvious effect on the short-term national economic growth. Thirdly, there was a one-way causal relationship between sports industry and the national economy, the change of sports industry growth was the cause of GDP growth. Fourthly, the impulse response function showed the development of the national economy growth contributes to the sports industry, the impacts trength of the growth of the national economy to the sports industry was stronger than the sports industry to economic growth. Fifthly, the variance decomposition showed that national economy was affected by its fluctuation and the sports industry, economic growth to the development of the sports industry's contribution rate was still insufficient. Basing on the statistics, this paper approached related suggestions.

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