文献类型：期刊文献

中文题名：我国体育用品进口与体育用品出口互动关系研究

英文题名：Interactive Relationship Between Sports Goods Import and Sports Goods Export in China

作者：田广 郭敏

第一作者：田广

机构：[1]华中师范大学体育学院;[2]贵州理工学院体育教学部

第一机构：华中师范大学体育学院,湖北武汉430079

年份：2017

卷号：32

期号：2

起止页码：112-116

中文期刊名：天津体育学院学报

外文期刊名：Journal of Tianjin University of Sport

收录：CSTPCD;;国家哲学社会科学学术期刊数据库;北大核心:【北大核心2014】；CSSCI:【CSSCI2017_2018】；

基金：国家社会科学基金项目(项目编号:14BTY012)

语种：中文

中文关键词：体育用品进口;体育用品出口;互动关系

外文关键词：sporting goods import ; sporting goods export ; interactive relationship

摘要：对外贸易是拉动经济增长的马车之一,在重视出口的同时,更应该重视进口的作用,加入WTO以来,我国体育用品长期以大规模的出口占据全球体育用品市场。由于体育用品对外贸易的结构失衡,我国体育用品进出口都遭受了重创,贸易摩擦和贸易壁垒不断升级,长此以往,不利于体育产业5万亿目标的实现。采用协整分析、误差修正模型、格兰杰因果关系检验、脉冲响应函数及方差分解法,以体育用品进口与体育用品出口互动关系为研究对象,分析我国2003—2016年体育用品进口与体育用品出口的长期和短期动态特征。结果表明:(1)体育用品进口与体育用品出口存在长期协整关系,短期作用小于长期作用,上期体育用品出口对当期体育用品出口具有抑制作用;(2)体育用品进口与体育用品出口之间不存在因果关系,政策对两者均没有发挥作用;(3)体育用品进口、体育用品出口对自身冲击均呈"短期为正,长期为负",体育用品进口与体育用品出口的相互冲击呈"短期效应强,长期效应弱";(4)体育用品进口、体育用品出口自身冲击贡献在65%以上,两者冲击贡献率相互呈"集约效应"和"滞后效应"。最后,从政府、行业、企业、政策、战略、国际环境、技术标准等方面提出了7条建议。
Foreign trade is one of the carriages to stimulate economic growth, while paying attention to exports, more attention should be paid to the role of imports. Since the accession to the WTO, the export of sporting goods in China has long time occupied global sporting goods market in large-scale. Due to the structural imbalance in the foreign trade of sport, sporting goods import and export all took a hit in China, the trade friction and barriers are escalating, in the long term, it is not conducive to the sports industry to achieve the goals of 5 trillion. Utilizing cointegration relation test, error correction model, Granger causal- ity test, impulse response function analysis and variance decomposition methods, taking the relationship between sports goods import and export as the re- search object. Analysis the long and short time dynamic impact character of sporting goods import and sporting goods export during the period of 2003 to 2016 of China. Research conclusions included, firstly, there is a long-term cointegration relationship between the import and export of sports goods, meanwhile, the short-term effect is less than the long-term effect, The export of sporting goods in the last period has a restraining effect on the present export of the sports goods. Secondly, there is no causal relationship between sporting goods import and sporting goods export, the policy has no effect on both side. Thirdly, the self- contribution of The import of sports goods and the export of sporting goods are both ＇positive in the short term, and negative in the long term＇. The interaction between sports goods export and sports goods import shows that short-term effects are strong, long-term effects are weak. Fourthly, the self-contribution of import and export of the sports goods are more than 65 %, both of them exist ＂intensive effect＂ and ＂lag effect＂. Finally, the basic conclusions and the relevant policy recommendations were drawn in this paper.